National Bank of Egyptvs
El Geish
COMPLETEDEgypt · Premier League · 10/13/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: National Bank of Egypt 0-0 El Geish, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
National Bank of Egypt 3-0 El Geish
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.93 | 47.1% | 35.4% | -11.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.01 | 30.2% | 31.0% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 4.01 | 22.7% | 33.6% | 10.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.8 pts
Projected Score
National Bank of Egypt 0–0 El Geish
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.0%
Model confidence
35.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
National Bank of EgyptLLWWL
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
El GeishLDLWW
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
National Bank of EgyptEl Geish
26.7Attack33.3
53.3Defence66.7
40.0Form46.7
42.3Power51.9
0.83xG0.95