Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lancy · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 2-3 (6%), 3-2 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Naters 2-1 Lancy
Original prediction
Lancy
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 19:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.2–36%
- 3.3–26%
Predicted outcome
Lancy
Probability
38.5%
Model confidence
38.5%
Lancy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
NatersWLLWW
GF 10 · GA 13 · avg 2.00/2.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
LancyWWLLL
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
NatersLancy
66.7Attack56.7
10.0Defence40.0
46.7Form43.3
44.3Power47.6
2.62xG2.76