Nassaji Mazandaranvs
Shams Azar Qazvin
COMPLETEDIran · Persian Gulf Pro League · 8/28/2026, 3:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Nassaji Mazandaran 0-0 Shams Azar Qazvin, with an exact score probability of 27%.
Prediction record
Final result
Nassaji Mazandaran 0-2 Shams Azar Qazvin
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.08 | 44.0% | 35.1% | -8.8 pts |
| Draw | 2.88 | 31.7% | 33.5% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 3.77 | 24.3% | 31.4% | 7.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.8 pts
Projected Score
Nassaji Mazandaran 0–0 Shams Azar Qazvin
Exact score probability: 27%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
33.5%
Model confidence
35.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80
GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/2.00