Nassaji Mazandaranvs
Kheybar Khorramabad
COMPLETEDIran · Persian Gulf Pro League · 9/7/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Nassaji Mazandaran 0-0 Kheybar Khorramabad, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Nassaji Mazandaran 1-0 Kheybar Khorramabad
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.46 | 37.2% | 33.0% | -4.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.02 | 30.2% | 30.7% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 2.80 | 32.6% | 36.3% | 3.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.5 pts
Projected Score
Nassaji Mazandaran 0–0 Kheybar Khorramabad
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
30.7%
Model confidence
36.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40