Nassaji Mazandaranvs
Fajr Sepasi
COMPLETEDIran · Persian Gulf Pro League · 10/25/2026, 1:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Nassaji Mazandaran 0-0 Fajr Sepasi, with an exact score probability of 36%.
Prediction record
Final result
Nassaji Mazandaran 2-2 Fajr Sepasi
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:27 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.62 | 34.7% | 34.3% | -0.4 pts |
| Draw | 2.80 | 32.4% | 37.7% | 5.2 pts |
| Away | 2.76 | 32.9% | 28.1% | -4.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.80 · Draw 1.80 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.2 pts
Projected Score
Nassaji Mazandaran 0–0 Fajr Sepasi
Exact score probability: 36%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
37.7%
Model confidence
37.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Nassaji MazandaranDDDWW
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
Fajr SepasiWWLLD
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Nassaji MazandaranFajr Sepasi
18.5Attack29.6
74.1Defence63.0
37.0Form48.1
46.1Power48.7
0.58xG0.47