GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 2/25/2023, 9:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nashville SC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Nashville SC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while New York City FC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Nashville SC hold an 18.7-point power-rating edge (72.7 v 54.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.8% in the Major League Soccer, while Nashville SC holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nashville SC

Probability

62.8%

Model confidence

62.8%

Nashville SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Nashville SCWWLLD

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
New York City FCLLDWD

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Nashville SCNew York City FC
68.4Attack57.4
73.7Defence55.6
75.4Form48.1
72.7Power54.0
2.09xG0.83
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