Nashville SCvs
Lexington
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 2/14/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Nashville SC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Lexington are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Lexington hold a 5.2-point power-rating edge (46.5 v 51.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
34.9%
Model confidence
34.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40