Major League SoccerMajor League Soccer
Saturday, 18 July 2026Last updated 12:42
Nashville SC

Nashville SC

Home
W
10
Full time
Atlanta United FC

Atlanta United FC

Away
D
Geodis Park
GoalVio prediction
53% confidence
Nashville SC(53%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Win probability
Nashville SC
53%
Draw
22%
Atlanta United FC
25%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Nashville SC
94
Atlanta United FC
34
Defence
Nashville SC
66
Atlanta United FC
66
Momentum
Nashville SC
100
Atlanta United FC
33
Danger (xG)
Nashville SC
2.33
Atlanta United FC
0.90
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Nashville SC)
2.33
avg per match
xG for (Atlanta United FC)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Nashville SC)
0.65
avg per match
xG against (Atlanta United FC)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Nashville SCNashville SC
WW
Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC
D

Probability breakdown

53% confidence
Nashville SC53%
Draw22%
Atlanta United FC25%

Nashville SC leads with 53% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Nashville SC head into this in Major League Soccer fixture at Geodis Park in mixed form (W), while Atlanta United FC arrive in mixed form (D). Nashville SC have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Atlanta United FC over 1 games.

Tactically, this looks like a one-sided contest. Nashville SC's elite attack (94/100) faces a solid Atlanta United FC defence (66/100), while Atlanta United FC's attack is up against a solid Nashville SC backline. The model sees a clear mismatch in Nashville SC's favour.

Nashville SC have won all 1 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 3.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game at home. Atlanta United FC have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

Nashville SC have generated 2.33 xG per game recently while conceding 0.65 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches.

There is no head-to-head data between Nashville SC and Atlanta United FC in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Nashville SC to win with 53% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Nashville SC 5257%, Draw 2210%, Atlanta United FC 2533%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Recent form

Nashville SC

Nashville SC

W
@ New England Revolution
14 May 2026
30
W
vs Houston Dynamo
28 Sept 2025
31
xG 2.3
Atlanta United FC

Atlanta United FC

D
@ Orlando City SC
17 May 2026
11

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Nashville SC vs Atlanta United FC?

GoalVio's model predicts Nashville SC to win with 53% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Nashville SC vs Atlanta United FC?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Nashville SC vs Atlanta United FC?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Nashville SC vs Atlanta United FC?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more