Nasarawa Unitedvs
Niger Tornadoes
COMPLETEDNigeria · NPFL · 9/27/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nasarawa United · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Nasarawa United 0-0 Niger Tornadoes, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Nasarawa United 1-0 Niger Tornadoes
Original prediction
Nasarawa United
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.48 | 60.6% | 42.5% | -18.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 25.7% | 28.9% | 3.3 pts |
| Away | 6.52 | 13.8% | 28.5% | 14.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.48 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-18.0 pts
Projected Score
Nasarawa United 0–0 Niger Tornadoes
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Nasarawa United
Probability
42.5%
Model confidence
42.5%
Nasarawa United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20