Nasarawa Unitedvs
Bendel Insurance
COMPLETEDNigeria · NPFL · 9/6/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bendel Insurance · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Nasarawa United 0-0 Bendel Insurance, with an exact score probability of 28%.
Prediction record
Final result
Nasarawa United 1-0 Bendel Insurance
Original prediction
Bendel Insurance
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:27 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.64 | 54.8% | 25.9% | -28.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.24 | 27.8% | 32.7% | 4.9 pts |
| Away | 5.17 | 17.4% | 41.5% | 24.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
24.0 pts
Projected Score
Nasarawa United 0–0 Bendel Insurance
Exact score probability: 28%
Predicted outcome
Bendel Insurance
Probability
41.5%
Model confidence
41.5%
Bendel Insurance has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00