Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nasaf · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Nasaf are 0W-3D-1L in their last 4 (LDDD), averaging 0.25 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Turan are 1W-0D-3L in their last 4 (LLLW), averaging 1.25 scored and 2.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 8 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Nasaf hold a 24.1-point power-rating edge (56.6 v 32.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.3% in the Super League, while Nasaf holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Nasaf
Probability
60.3%
Model confidence
60.3%
Nasaf has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 2 · avg 0.25/0.50
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.25/2.50