Nasafvs
Dinamo Samarqand
COMPLETEDUzbekistan · Super League · 10/9/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nasaf · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Nasaf 2-1 Dinamo Samarqand
Original prediction
Nasaf
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 18:57 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.63 | 55.8% | 54.0% | -1.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.68 | 24.6% | 24.8% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 4.63 | 19.6% | 21.2% | 1.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.63 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
Nasaf
Probability
54.0%
Model confidence
54.0%
Nasaf has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
NasafWDWWL
GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Dinamo SamarqandLWDDW
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
NasafDinamo Samarqand
50.0Attack50.0
68.2Defence48.5
51.5Form45.5
57.3Power50.7
1.68xG0.85