Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Nasaf are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Buxoro are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 56.6 against 58.4. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 21.2% in the Super League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
37.5%
Model confidence
21.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00