Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nasaf · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Nasaf are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Andijan are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Nasaf hold an 8.0-point power-rating edge (56.6 v 48.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 19.7% in the Super League, while Nasaf holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Nasaf
Probability
41.7%
Model confidence
19.7%
Nasaf has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40