Nasafvs
Al Wahda FC
COMPLETEDWorld · AFC Champions League Two · 10/14/2026, 1:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Wahda FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Nasaf 1-2 Al Wahda FC
Original prediction
Al Wahda FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.23 | 28.1% | 33.0% | 4.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.29 | 27.6% | 27.6% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.05 | 44.3% | 39.4% | -4.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.05 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Al Wahda FC
Probability
39.4%
Model confidence
39.4%
Al Wahda FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 4 · avg 3.00/0.80
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20