Narva U21vs
Tartu Kalev
COMPLETEDEstonia · Esiliiga B · 10/15/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Narva U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (8%), 2-1 (7%), 3-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Narva U21 2-0 Tartu Kalev
Original prediction
Narva U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 13:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.31 | 68.7% | 64.7% | -4.0 pts |
| Draw | 5.38 | 16.7% | 16.6% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 6.13 | 14.6% | 18.7% | 4.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.31 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–18%
- 2.2–17%
- 3.3–27%
Predicted outcome
Narva U21
Probability
64.7%
Model confidence
64.7%
Narva U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00