GGOALVIO

Estonia · Esiliiga B · 6/18/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Narva U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-2

Lowconfidence

Narva U21 are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLD), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Tartu Kalev are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Narva U21 hold a 10.7-point power-rating edge (66.1 v 55.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.0% in the Esiliiga B, while Narva U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 90% BTTS chance and 95% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Narva U21

Probability

61.3%

Model confidence

7.0%

Narva U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Narva U21WDLLD

GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Tartu KalevLWLWW

GF 17 · GA 14 · avg 3.40/2.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Narva U21Tartu Kalev
88.9Attack92.4
52.4Defence31.8
65.1Form51.5
66.1Power55.4
4.32xG2.51
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