GGOALVIO

Estonia · Esiliiga B · 3/22/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Narva U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-2

Lowconfidence

Narva U21 are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Parnu JK Vaprus U21 are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Narva U21 hold a 12.7-point power-rating edge (66.1 v 53.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.2% in the Esiliiga B, while Narva U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 90% BTTS chance and 96% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Narva U21

Probability

63.0%

Model confidence

7.2%

Narva U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Narva U21LWWLW

GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Parnu JK Vaprus U21LWLLD

GF 12 · GA 13 · avg 2.40/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Narva U21Parnu JK Vaprus U21
88.9Attack92.4
52.4Defence22.7
65.1Form50.0
66.1Power53.4
4.50xG2.49
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