Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Narva U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-2
Narva U21 are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Luunja are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Narva U21 hold a 5.8-point power-rating edge (66.7 v 61.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.4% in the Esiliiga B, while Narva U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 88% BTTS chance and 93% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Narva U21
Probability
57.4%
Model confidence
57.4%
Narva U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 5 · avg 3.00/1.00
GF 15 · GA 8 · avg 3.00/1.60