GGOALVIO

Estonia · Esiliiga B · 3/10/2024, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Narva U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1

Highconfidence

Narva U21 are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Läänemaa Haapsalu are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 6 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Narva U21 hold a 24.8-point power-rating edge (66.7 v 41.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 78.1% in the Esiliiga B, while Narva U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 78% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 91% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Narva U21

Probability

78.1%

Model confidence

78.1%

Narva U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Narva U21L

GF 1 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
Läänemaa HaapsaluWLLWL

GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
Narva U21Läänemaa Haapsalu
86.4Attack59.6
54.5Defence21.1
66.7Form40.4
66.7Power41.9
4.50xG1.48
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