Narva U21vs
Levadia U19
COMPLETEDEstonia · Esiliiga B · 9/11/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Narva U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-2 (7%), 2-2 (6%), 3-1 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Narva U21 1-0 Levadia U19
Original prediction
Narva U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.79 | 50.5% | 55.4% | 4.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.15 | 21.8% | 17.5% | -4.4 pts |
| Away | 3.27 | 27.7% | 27.1% | -0.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.79 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–27%
- 2.2–26%
- 3.3–16%
Predicted outcome
Narva U21
Probability
55.4%
Model confidence
55.4%
Narva U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 17 · GA 5 · avg 3.40/1.00