GGOALVIO

Estonia · Esiliiga B · 3/31/2024, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Narva U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1

Highconfidence

Narva U21 are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (WWL), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Johvi Phoenix are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (LLW), averaging 2.33 scored and 2.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Narva U21 hold a 16.1-point power-rating edge (66.7 v 50.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 72.0% in the Esiliiga B, while Narva U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 83% BTTS chance and 93% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Narva U21

Probability

72.0%

Model confidence

72.0%

Narva U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Narva U21WWL

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 3.00/1.00

BTTS 2/3O2.5 3/3
Johvi PhoenixLLW

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 2.33/2.33

BTTS 1/3O2.5 3/3
Narva U21Johvi Phoenix
86.4Attack72.5
54.5Defence24.6
66.7Form50.7
66.7Power50.6
4.50xG1.85
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