Narva U21vs
JK Tabasalu
COMPLETEDEstonia · Esiliiga B · 8/29/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Narva U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 4-1 (10%), 5-1 (9%), 3-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Narva U21 4-0 JK Tabasalu
Original prediction
Narva U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.09 | 82.7% | 84.0% | 1.3 pts |
| Draw | 8.60 | 10.5% | 9.2% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 13.21 | 6.8% | 6.8% | -0.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.09 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.4–110%
- 2.5–19%
- 3.3–19%
Predicted outcome
Narva U21
Probability
84.0%
Model confidence
84.0%
Narva U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00
GF 4 · GA 15 · avg 0.80/3.00