Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Volda · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-4
Nardo are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Volda are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Volda hold a 32.2-point power-rating edge (39.0 v 71.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.9% in the 3. Division - Girone 2, while Volda holds the strongest overall chance at 78% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 91% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Volda
Probability
77.9%
Model confidence
8.9%
Volda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60