Nardovs
Strindheim
COMPLETEDNorway · 3. Division - Girone 2 · 10/3/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Strindheim · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-4 (7%), 2-3 (7%), 2-5 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Nardo 0-1 Strindheim
Original prediction
Strindheim
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 9 September 2026 at 18:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.13 | 29.0% | 26.1% | -2.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.42 | 20.5% | 20.4% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 1.80 | 50.4% | 53.5% | 3.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.80 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–47%
- 2.2–37%
- 3.2–56%
Predicted outcome
Strindheim
Probability
53.5%
Model confidence
53.5%
Strindheim has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 19 · GA 10 · avg 3.80/2.00
GF 16 · GA 3 · avg 3.20/0.60