Nardovs
Spjelkavik
COMPLETEDNorway · 3. Division - Girone 2 · 9/5/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Spjelkavik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-3 (7%), 2-2 (6%), 3-3 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Nardo 4-2 Spjelkavik
Original prediction
Spjelkavik
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.69 | 33.4% | 31.9% | -1.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.96 | 22.7% | 18.2% | -4.5 pts |
| Away | 2.05 | 43.9% | 49.8% | 6.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–37%
- 2.2–26%
- 3.3–36%
Predicted outcome
Spjelkavik
Probability
49.8%
Model confidence
49.8%
Spjelkavik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 14 · avg 1.80/2.80
GF 15 · GA 11 · avg 3.00/2.20