Nardovs
Ranheim II
COMPLETEDNorway · 3. Division - Girone 2 · 9/21/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nardo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 4-4 (7%), 4-3 (7%), 5-4 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Nardo 4-1 Ranheim II
Original prediction
Nardo
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 7 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.41 | 63.8% | 49.4% | -14.4 pts |
| Draw | 5.02 | 17.9% | 18.1% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 4.88 | 18.4% | 32.5% | 14.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.41 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.4–47%
- 2.4–37%
- 3.5–46%
Predicted outcome
Nardo
Probability
49.4%
Model confidence
49.4%
Nardo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
NardoWWLLW
GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Ranheim IILWDLL
GF 12 · GA 23 · avg 2.40/4.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
NardoRanheim II
70.4Attack89.5
22.2Defence0.0
37.0Form40.4
43.3Power41.0
4.50xG4.08