Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nardo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Nardo are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Rana are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 6 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 78.5 against 76.6. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.8% in the 3. Division - Girone 5, while Nardo holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Nardo
Probability
50.8%
Model confidence
50.8%
Nardo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 8 · avg 3.00/1.60
GF 3 · GA 0 · avg 3.00/0.00