Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nardo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Nardo are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 3.00 conceded, while NTNUI are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 37.5 against 37.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.1% in the 3. Division - Girone 2, while Nardo holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 81% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Nardo
Probability
54.1%
Model confidence
54.1%
Nardo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 15 · avg 1.40/3.00
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40