Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Molde II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-4
Nardo are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Molde II are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 2.60 scored and 4.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Molde II hold a 6.0-point power-rating edge (39.0 v 45.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.8% in the 3. Division - Girone 2, while Molde II holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 96% BTTS chance and 98% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Molde II
Probability
41.8%
Model confidence
41.8%
Molde II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 14 · avg 1.80/2.80
GF 13 · GA 20 · avg 2.60/4.00