Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nardo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-2 (6%), 3-3 (6%), 2-2 (5%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Nardo 11-0 Herd
Original prediction
Nardo
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 September 2026 at 09:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–26%
- 2.3–36%
- 3.2–25%
Predicted outcome
Nardo
Probability
47.0%
Model confidence
47.0%
Nardo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
NardoWLWWW
GF 17 · GA 7 · avg 3.40/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
HerdWLDLD
GF 7 · GA 15 · avg 1.40/3.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
NardoHerd
75.8Attack71.0
28.8Defence34.8
43.9Form46.4
49.0Power49.1
3.40xG2.97