Nara Clubvs
Kitakyushu
COMPLETEDJapan · J3 League · 10/10/2026, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nara Club · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (8%), 1-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Nara Club 2-0 Kitakyushu
Original prediction
Nara Club
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.86 | 48.0% | 59.8% | 11.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.51 | 25.5% | 19.5% | -6.0 pts |
| Away | 3.37 | 26.5% | 20.7% | -5.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.86 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.1–18%
Predicted outcome
Nara Club
Probability
59.8%
Model confidence
59.8%
Nara Club has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80