Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Gifu · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 0-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Nara Club 2-1 FC Gifu
Original prediction
FC Gifu
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.92 | 23.0% | 21.7% | -1.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.69 | 24.4% | 22.2% | -2.2 pts |
| Away | 1.72 | 52.6% | 56.0% | 3.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.0–29%
Predicted outcome
FC Gifu
Probability
56.0%
Model confidence
56.0%
FC Gifu has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Nara ClubDLDWL
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
FC GifuLDWLD
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Nara ClubFC Gifu
60.0Attack93.3
20.0Defence86.7
33.3Form66.7
39.8Power76.1
1.14xG2.37