Nara Clubvs
Biwako Shiga
COMPLETEDJapan · J3 League · 9/26/2026, 6:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Biwako Shiga · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Nara Club 4-1 Biwako Shiga
Original prediction
Biwako Shiga
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.28 | 39.2% | 35.7% | -3.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.37 | 26.5% | 26.5% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.60 | 34.3% | 37.7% | 3.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Biwako Shiga
Probability
37.7%
Model confidence
37.7%
Biwako Shiga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80