NAPSA Starsvs
Man Utd Zambia Academy
COMPLETEDZambia · Super League · 10/3/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: NAPSA Stars 0-0 Man Utd Zambia Academy, with an exact score probability of 41%.
Prediction record
Final result
NAPSA Stars 1-1 Man Utd Zambia Academy
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.02 | 44.7% | 36.3% | -8.5 pts |
| Draw | 2.82 | 32.1% | 39.0% | 6.9 pts |
| Away | 3.90 | 23.2% | 24.8% | 1.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.82 · Draw 1.82 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.9 pts
Projected Score
NAPSA Stars 0–0 Man Utd Zambia Academy
Exact score probability: 41%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.0%
Model confidence
39.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
NAPSA StarsLWDWL
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Man Utd Zambia AcademyLWWLD
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
NAPSA StarsMan Utd Zambia Academy
23.5Attack32.4
78.4Defence66.7
43.1Form43.1
50.7Power49.0
0.52xG0.39