Naprzódvs
Sokół Kolb.
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 4 · 10/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Naprzód · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Naprzód 1-0 Sokół Kolb.
Original prediction
Naprzód
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.18 | 41.6% | 49.1% | 7.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.48 | 26.0% | 23.8% | -2.3 pts |
| Away | 2.80 | 32.4% | 27.1% | -5.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.18 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Naprzód
Probability
49.1%
Model confidence
49.1%
Naprzód has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 18 · GA 8 · avg 3.60/1.60
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00