GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 4 · 10/24/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Naprzód · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (10%), 1-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Naprzód 2-2 KS Wieczysta Krakow II

Original prediction

Naprzód

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 10 October 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.3838.0%47.7%9.7 pts
Draw3.4825.9%25.3%-0.6 pts
Away2.5036.0%26.9%-9.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.48 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

9.7 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–110%
  2. 2.2–010%
  3. 3.1–19%

Predicted outcome

Naprzód

Probability

47.7%

Model confidence

47.7%

Naprzód has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

NaprzódLWWWW

GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
KS Wieczysta Krakow IIWDWLD

GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
NaprzódKS Wieczysta Krakow II
81.8Attack30.3
36.4Defence57.6
60.6Form33.3
60.1Power42.3
2.39xG1.01
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