Naprzódvs
Busko-Zdroj
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 4 · 9/26/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Naprzód · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (7%), 3-1 (7%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Naprzód 4-1 Busko-Zdroj
Original prediction
Naprzód
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.73 | 52.1% | 52.4% | 0.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.83 | 23.5% | 21.9% | -1.6 pts |
| Away | 3.68 | 24.4% | 25.7% | 1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.73 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–17%
- 2.3–17%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Naprzód
Probability
52.4%
Model confidence
52.4%
Naprzód has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80