Napredakvs
Semendrija 1924
COMPLETEDSerbia · Prva Liga · 9/21/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Napredak 0-0 Semendrija 1924, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
Napredak 1-4 Semendrija 1924
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.03 | 44.1% | 37.4% | -6.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.07 | 29.2% | 31.8% | 2.6 pts |
| Away | 3.35 | 26.8% | 30.9% | 4.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.6 pts
Projected Score
Napredak 0–0 Semendrija 1924
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.8%
Model confidence
37.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
NapredakLLWLL
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Semendrija 1924WLLDD
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
NapredakSemendrija 1924
33.3Attack36.0
100.0Defence72.1
100.0Form50.5
80.3Power54.9
0.84xG0.76