Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Napredak · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Napredak 0-0 OFK Vršac, with an exact score probability of 24%.
Prediction record
Final result
Napredak 1-2 OFK Vršac
Original prediction
Napredak
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 2 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.87 | 48.2% | 39.7% | -8.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.10 | 29.0% | 32.2% | 3.1 pts |
| Away | 3.95 | 22.8% | 28.1% | 5.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.5 pts
Projected Score
Napredak 0–0 OFK Vršac
Exact score probability: 24%
Predicted outcome
Napredak
Probability
39.7%
Model confidence
39.7%
Napredak has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
NapredakLWLLD
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
OFK VršacWLLWW
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
NapredakOFK Vršac
33.3Attack28.7
100.0Defence71.3
100.0Form46.3
80.3Power51.1
0.87xG0.60