Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Napredak · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0
Napredak are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Navbahor are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Napredak hold a 19.7-point power-rating edge (71.1 v 51.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.1% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Napredak holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Napredak
Probability
51.1%
Model confidence
51.1%
Napredak has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20