Napredakvs
Jedinstvo Ub
COMPLETEDSerbia · Prva Liga · 9/5/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Napredak · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Napredak 2-1 Jedinstvo Ub
Original prediction
Napredak
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.54 | 58.3% | 42.5% | -15.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.54 | 25.4% | 29.2% | 3.8 pts |
| Away | 5.52 | 16.3% | 28.3% | 12.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.54 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.1–013%
Predicted outcome
Napredak
Probability
42.5%
Model confidence
42.5%
Napredak has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
NapredakLLDWW
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Jedinstvo UbDLLLW
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
NapredakJedinstvo Ub
33.3Attack50.0
100.0Defence83.3
100.0Form66.7
80.3Power68.0
1.12xG0.96