Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Napoli W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Napoli W 1-0 Parma W
Original prediction
Napoli W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Napoli W
Probability
39.7%
Model confidence
39.7%
Napoli W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Napoli WLLLDL
GF 5 · GA 18 · avg 1.00/3.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Parma WLLLDL
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Napoli WParma W
33.3Attack33.3
11.1Defence22.2
11.1Form11.1
22.2Power26.4
1.56xG1.36