Serie ASerie A
Sunday, 24 May 2026Last updated 10:05
Napoli

Napoli

Home
WW
10
Full time
Udinese

Udinese

Away
L
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
GoalVio prediction
49% confidence
Napoli(49%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Prediction correct— Result: Napoli
Win probability
Napoli
49%
Draw
27%
Udinese
25%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Napoli
54
Udinese
9
Defence
Napoli
91
Udinese
66
Momentum
Napoli
100
Udinese
0
Danger (xG)
Napoli
1.48
Udinese
0.37
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Napoli)
1.48
avg per match
xG for (Udinese)
0.37
avg per match
xG against (Napoli)
0.38
avg per match
xG against (Udinese)
1.76
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
NapoliNapoli
WWLW
UdineseUdinese
LL

Probability breakdown

49% confidence
Napoli49%
Draw27%
Udinese25%

Napoli leads with 49% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

Share this

Analysis

Match insights

Napoli head into this in Serie A fixture at Stadio Diego Armando Maradona in decent form (WW), while Udinese arrive in mixed form (L). Napoli have a 100% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 0% for Udinese over 1 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Napoli (91/100) and Udinese (66/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Napoli have won 1 of their last 2 home fixtures, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game at home. Udinese have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 2 away matches. They average 1.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per away game.

Napoli have generated 1.48 xG per game recently while conceding 0.38 xG per match. Udinese have generated 0.37 xG per game recently while conceding 1.76 xG per match, underperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches.

Napoli have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 1.0 goals per game.

The GoalVio engine projects Napoli to win with 49% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Napoli 4890%, Draw 2660%, Udinese 2460%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Napoli 1Draws 00 Udinese
Avg goals: 1.0
24 May 2026
Napoli
W10
Udinese
xG 1.80.4

Recent form

Napoli

Napoli

W
vs Udinese
24 May 2026
10
xG 1.8
W
@ Pisa
17 May 2026
30
L
vs Bologna
11 May 2026
23
W
@ Sassuolo
23 Aug 2025
20
xG 1.2
Udinese

Udinese

L
@ Napoli
24 May 2026
01
xG 0.4
L
@ Inter
28 May 2017
25

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Napoli vs Udinese?

GoalVio's model predicts Napoli to win with 49% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Napoli vs Udinese?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Napoli vs Udinese?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Napoli vs Udinese?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

Explore more predictions

About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
View full accuracy stats →
Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more