Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Sunday, 26 July 2026Last updated 10:06
Napoli

Napoli

Home
WW
20
Full time
Carrarese

Carrarese

Away
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Carrarese33%
Napoli33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score1-1
Win probability
Napoli
33%
Draw
33%
Carrarese
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Napoli)
1.48
avg per match
xG against (Napoli)
0.38
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
NapoliNapoli
WWLW

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Napoli33%
Draw33%
Carrarese33%

Carrarese leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Napoli head into this in Friendlies Clubs fixture in decent form (WW), while Carrarese arrive in unknown form.

Napoli have won 1 of their last 2 home fixtures, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game at home. Carrarese have limited away data in the engine at this stage.

Napoli have generated 1.48 xG per game recently while conceding 0.38 xG per match.

There is no head-to-head data between Napoli and Carrarese in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects a draw with 33% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-1. Win probabilities: Napoli 3333%, Draw 3333%, Carrarese 3334%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Napoli

Napoli

W
vs Udinese
24 May 2026
10
xG 1.8
W
@ Pisa
17 May 2026
30
L
vs Bologna
11 May 2026
23
W
@ Sassuolo
23 Aug 2025
20
xG 1.2

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Napoli vs Carrarese?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Napoli vs Carrarese?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-1.

Will both teams score in Napoli vs Carrarese?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Napoli vs Carrarese?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more