Napoli U19vs
Spezia U19
COMPLETEDItaly · Campionato Primavera - 2 · 10/24/2026, 8:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Napoli U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Napoli U19 3-1 Spezia U19
Original prediction
Napoli U19
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 19:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.66 | 53.4% | 45.1% | -8.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.70 | 24.0% | 26.0% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 3.92 | 22.6% | 28.9% | 6.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.66 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Napoli U19
Probability
45.1%
Model confidence
45.1%
Napoli U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20