Napoli U19vs
Pisa U19
COMPLETEDItaly · Campionato Primavera - 2 · 10/10/2026, 9:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Napoli U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Napoli U19 1-0 Pisa U19
Original prediction
Napoli U19
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 18:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.83 | 49.0% | 39.9% | -9.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.69 | 24.3% | 26.2% | 1.9 pts |
| Away | 3.35 | 26.7% | 33.9% | 7.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.83 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Napoli U19
Probability
39.9%
Model confidence
39.9%
Napoli U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60
GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40