Napoli U19vs
Bodø / Glimt U19
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Youth League · 10/20/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Napoli U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Napoli U19 1-0 Bodø / Glimt U19
Original prediction
Napoli U19
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.06 | 87.2% | 52.1% | -35.1 pts |
| Draw | 10.78 | 8.5% | 21.2% | 12.7 pts |
| Away | 21.49 | 4.3% | 26.7% | 22.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.06 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-35.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Napoli U19
Probability
52.1%
Model confidence
52.1%
Napoli U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
GF 7 · GA 20 · avg 1.40/4.00