Napoli U19vs
Arsenal U19
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Youth League · 9/9/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Napoli U19 0-0 Arsenal U19, with an exact score probability of 26%.
Prediction record
Final result
Napoli U19 1-2 Arsenal U19
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 07:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.61 | 25.0% | 32.4% | 7.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.62 | 24.9% | 31.8% | 6.8 pts |
| Away | 1.80 | 50.0% | 35.9% | -14.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.8 pts
Projected Score
Napoli U19 0–0 Arsenal U19
Exact score probability: 26%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.8%
Model confidence
35.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Napoli U19LWWWW
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Arsenal U19No completed matches
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00
BTTS 0/0O2.5 0/0
Napoli U19Arsenal U19
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
0.76xG0.64