Naplesvs
Union Omaha
SCHEDULEDUSA · USL League One · 8/26/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Union Omaha · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Naples are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Union Omaha are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Union Omaha hold a 23.2-point power-rating edge (41.5 v 64.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.2% in the USL League One, while Union Omaha holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Union Omaha
Probability
59.8%
Model confidence
12.2%
Union Omaha has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60